This with a bowler tip to Channel 4 News... 23:15 Houghton and Sunderland South 00:30 Birmingham Edgbaston 01:00 Battersea 01:00 Torbay 01:12 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 01:50-02:00Thurrock, Batley & Spen and Carlisle 02:00 Rochdale 02:00 Norwich South 02:00 Guildford 02:13 Burnley 02:15 Sheffield Hallam 02:30 Kingswood 03:00 Morley and Outwood 03:00 Glasgow North 03:00 Luton South 03:06 Chorley 03:20 West Dorset 03:30 Brighton Pavillion 03:34 Witney 04:00 Edinburgh South West 04:00 Barking 04:00 Islington South 04:39 Romsey and Southampton North 04:45 Poplar and Limehouse 05:00 Redditch 05:30 Hammersmith Friday morning 14:30 Buckingham 15:00 Morecombe & Lonsdale
22:00 ITV News, BBC and Sky report the result of the exit polls. Traditionally a strong indicator of the results, the margin for error could be even greater this year.
Expected to be the first constituency to report, trying to beat the fastest count set in 2005.
The first key Labour/Conservative marginal expected to declare. The Tories need a 2 per cent swing.
Another key Conservative target, with the party needing a swing of just 0.5 per cent in this Labour marginal.
Lib Dem marginal. The Conservative party is looking for a 3 per cent swing to win back the seat lost in 1997.
Gordon Brown's constituency, this is a safe Labour seat with a 43.6 per cent majority over the SNP.
Three Labour seats to watch as the Tories battle for a 6-7 per cent swing in votes.
A Lib Dem seat targeted by Labour, now infamous for 'bigotgate'.
The Lib Dems would need a small swing to win this Labour seat, which also has a good strong from the Greens.
A Conservative seat under fire from the Lib Dems, which could nail it with a small swing.
Labour currently hold a near-on 15 per cent majority here, but if a fall to Lib Dems would indicate huge gains for the latter – and a hung parliament for the country.
Nick Clegg's constituency.
The Tories benchmark target, the fall of this Labour seat near Bristol would suggest a Conservative majority.
Ed Balls' constituency, David Cameron himself campaigned at this Labour seat to rally voters. The Tories need a 10 per cent swing.
One to watch as a gauge of Lib Dem performance – they would need a 6 per cent swing to swipe this seat from Labour.
A bellwether for the overall victor, since 1951 the winning party has triumphed here. A win here – where Esther Rantzen is running for the Independents - would signal a Tory majority of 50.
A Labour seat targeted by the Tories, who would need an 8 per cent swing. Who ever has won this seat has won the election since 1964.
Oliver Letwin could lose this Tory seat to the Lib Dems with a swing of just 2.3 per cent.
The Green Party's best chance of securing their first Westminster seat.
The Tory leader's constituency, David Cameron holds a 26.8 per cent majority over the Lib Dems.
Chancellor Alistair Darling’s seat, a fall to the Conservatives would be unlikely in Scotland and would need a swing of 8 per cent.
Targetted by the BNP, Nick Griffin is hoping to secure the party's first seat from Labour's Margaret Hodge.
An inner London seat currently held by Labour, but targeted by the Lib Dems.
The Lib Dems currently hold a majority of just 125 over the Tories.
Labour seat being targetted by Respect's George Galloway, who would need a swing of 11 per cent. Housing Canary Wharf and the Docklands, it has also been targeted by the Tories.
Former Home Secretary Jacqui Smith is fighting to keep her seat. The Tories would need a swing of 2.6 per cent to win.
A Tory win over Labour here would show the party is on track to reach Downing Street.
A further 39 constituencies will declare results by 5pm.
Speaker John Bercow faces a challenge by former UKIP leader Nigel Farage.
The Conservatives need a 5.9 per cent swing to win.
Thursday, 6 May 2010
Election 2010 - What's on the wireless tonight.
Railway Garden Competition - Waterloo
This from Fiona Gail....
This glorious scene taken at Waterloo today.
Is Network Rail perhaps planning to enter the station into this year's RHS Chelsea Flower Show?
Alternatively is this Coucher-code for who should be in 10 Downing Street tomorrow?
Fact Compiler praises Labour candidate - Shocker
The Fact Compiler is a great fan of Tom Harris.
Whilst not sharing his politics the Fact Compiler believes Tom to be a friend to the railways and boy do we need them!
More importantly he also voted against the evil and pernicious smoking ban (don't get me started).
With the above in mind Eye is happy to find space for Tom's "Prime Ministerial" (in the words of Iain Dale) election podcast.
Nice!
Good luck in Glasgow South today Tom.
UPDATE: This from Captain Deltic....
There is only one weak point in Tom's masterly broadcast.
The choice of subject to illustrate transport.
Eye followers might like to brighten up the wait for the end of polling by suggesting more apposite examples in the same light-hearted spirit?.
To get things going I would suggest a Saunders Roe Princess or Bristol Brabazon in the air as a forerunner of IEP (planes specified by civil servants).
Or since we really should have a railway subject, how about the Bulleid Leader?
UPDATE: This from Steve Strong...
No brainer!
For the non-kettle heads it's an Austerity...
Wolmar deserts Labour - Shocker
In a move that looks destined to break the Noble Lord's heart it appears that his bezzie mate Wolmar has succumbed to Cleggstacy!
Perhaps not quite in the same league as the Tories buying Facebook for the day...
UPDATE: This from Wolmar...
Is the Fact Compiler getting nervous about our wager on an absolute Tory majority?
I think we should be told!
Meanwhile the ads on my site do not reflect my editorial policy!!
Railway Garden Competition - Southend Central
With a bowler tip to @AMonkster, via Twitter.
Election 2010 - Exclusive - Results in full !
Telegrammed by Haruspex
Having examined the entrails Eye's political forecaster makes the following predictions:
Conservative victory
- IEP cancelled
- Thameslink de-specified
- Crossrail delayed
Labour victory
- Crossrail delayed
- Thameslink de-specified
- IEP cancelled
Hung Parliament
- Thameslink de-specified
- IEP Cancelled
- Crossrail delayed.
You heard it here first.
Railway Gardens - An Inspector speaks
Plainly planning inspectors know nothing about the railways.
This prejudiced view from The Royston Weekly News...
A planning inspector told a public inquiry into Royston’s proposed £3.7 million railway underpass that he would need “some convincing” to approve the scheme that would halve some residents’ gardens.
Had the aforementioned planning inspector spent anytime reading Eye he would know that Railway Gardens are an industry speciality.